By Akash Biswas,  11 May 2025

Ceasefire Violations at LoC: Who Breaks the Peace First?

Ceasefire Violations: A Timeline of Tension

From 2003 to 2025, ceasefire violations have fluctuated. Notable spikes occurred in 2013, 2016, and 2020. The 2021 agreement briefly reduced clashes.

India’s Claims (Official Statement Excerpt)

"For the last few hours, there have been repeated violations... The armed forces are giving an adequate and appropriate response to these violations, and we take very, very serious note of these violations." - Indian Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri

Pakistan’s Claims

Pakistan denies initiating violations and accuses India of unprovoked attacks, including airstrikes and artillery fire that have resulted in civilian casualties. Pakistani officials emphasize their commitment to regional peace and sovereignty

What Neutral Observers Say (UNMOGIP)

Neutral observers like the United Nations Military Observer Group in India and Pakistan (UNMOGIP) monitor the LoC but rarely assign blame publicly. They report on incidents but note that both sides restrict access and interpretations often differ, making impartial assessment challenging

Role of Satellite Monitoring

Modern satellite imagery and drone surveillance can detect artillery fire, troop movements, and explosions, offering potential for independent verification. However, both countries control the release of such data, limiting transparency.

Truth vs Propaganda

Both sides use official statements, media, and social platforms to shape public opinion, often amplifying their own narrative and downplaying or denying the other's claims. This information war complicates efforts to establish objective facts

Why the Truth Is Hard to Verify

Lack of third-party access, terrain challenges, and political agendas make it nearly impossible to know who really breaks the ceasefire first.